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Yury Barmin

Biography

Yury Barmin is a strategic risk consultant based in Moscow. He holds an MPhil Degree in International Relations from the University of Cambridge. His interests include Russian foreign policy and the politics of the Gulf. Follow him on Twitter at @yurybarmin.

11.09.2016

Ceasefire in Syria: An extremely narrow opportunity for peace

Ceasefire in Syria: An extremely narrow opportunity for peace

The recent ceasefire deal in Syria is fragile at best, but it may be the closest that Russia and the U.S. have been to bringing about a lasting peace in the war-torn nation

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16.08.2016

What the Erdogan-Putin meeting means for Syria

What the Erdogan-Putin meeting means for Syria

On the surface, Russia and Turkey may be close to a rapprochement. But both sides are clearly maneuvering for power and influence in Syria, where their interests are not yet aligned

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22.06.2016

US policy in Syria unraveling, much to the Kremlin's delight

US policy in Syria unraveling, much to the Kremlin's delight

Russia’s assertive stance in Syria might be paying off, as witnessed by a controversial memo signed by more than 50 U.S. State Department officials. The memo hints at discord and dissension over U.S. foreign policy in Syria

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20.04.2016

Why does Russia continue to protect Assad in Syria?

Why does Russia continue to protect Assad in Syria?

Putin’s KGB background helps to explain why Syrian President Assad will never face trial

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23.03.2016

How the Syria withdrawal could impact Russia's relationship with Iran

How the Syria withdrawal could impact Russia's relationship with Iran

While both Moscow and Tehran are putting a positive spin on Russia’s decision to withdraw from Syria, there are a number of issues that could impact Russian-Iranian relations, including the fate of Assad and the role of Hezbollah in Syria

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24.02.2016

Does Assad really want a ceasefire in Syria?

Does Assad really want a ceasefire in Syria?

The Syrian ceasefire has the support of Moscow and Washington, but it remains to be seen if Damascus is willing to support the deal

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29.01.2016

Why Russia is likely to lose the fight for Iran's market

Why Russia is likely to lose the fight for Iran's market

The Iranian president is making his first official visit in 20 years to Europe, yet Russia is not on his itinerary. Can the Kremlin still rely on Iran as a partner?

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21.01.2016

Russia's relationship with Iran just got more complicated

Russia's relationship with Iran just got more complicated

The lifting of sanctions against Iran raises a number of challenges for the Kremlin, including concerns that Iran could be preparing to assert its power in the South Caucasus, the Caspian Sea or Central Asia

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04.01.2016

What to expect from Russia’s Syria policy in 2016

What to expect from Russia’s Syria policy in 2016

Moscow has been relying on hard power in Syria over the last three months and risks falling into a trap of over-reliance on it next year. While this strategy has yielded some results, such as engaging the U.S.-led coalition into more decisive talks, in 2016 the same approach is likely to prove its inefficiency

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21.10.2015

Assad in Moscow: A sign of nearing talks on Syria's future

Assad in Moscow: A sign of nearing talks on Syria's future

The sudden appearance of Syrian President Bashar Al Assad in Moscow is a likely sign that Russia is attempting to work out what a post-Assad Syria would look like

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13.10.2015

Russia's military role in Syria: A byproduct of the Iran nuclear deal?

Russia's military role in Syria: A byproduct of the Iran nuclear deal?

Tehran may have presented Moscow with a proposal it couldn’t refuse to ignore: military involvement in Syria in exchange for a geopolitical partnership after the lifting of sanctions

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10.09.2015

Russia raises the stakes in Syria

Russia raises the stakes in Syria

The Kremlin appears to be stepping up its role in the Syrian crisis, possibly laying the groundwork for a new strategy against ISIS in the region

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27.08.2015

Russia's Syrian strategy is no longer up in the air

Russia's Syrian strategy is no longer up in the air

Judging from recent events, Russia and the Middle Eastern powers have managed to go from being at odds to finding common ground over Syria

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14.07.2015

Deal on Iran nuclear program is a win-win for Moscow and Washington

Deal on Iran nuclear program is a win-win for Moscow and Washington

For the U.S., the Iran nuclear deal could provide a boost in the fight against ISIS. For Russia, the agreement could lead to a new bargaining chip in the debate over a European missile defense shield

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25.06.2015

Is Russia losing the battle to ISIS online?

Is Russia losing the battle to ISIS online?

The Russian government needs to do more to counter ISIS propaganda in social networks, which has proven successful of late in attracting and recruiting young Russians from both the North Caucasus and the Volga Region

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10.06.2015

Is Russia finally turning its back on Assad?

Is Russia finally turning its back on Assad?

Media reports that the government in Damascus may fall, combined with changing Russian rhetoric and signs of high-level diplomatic meetings between Russia and the U.S. on Syria, could augur a major foreign policy change for Moscow

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14.04.2015

Making sense of Russia's arms deals with Iran and China

Making sense of Russia's arms deals with Iran and China

Economic considerations, rather than geopolitical considerations, may have played an important role in Moscow’s decision to supply both Iran and China with new missile systems

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01.04.2015

Russia's Yemen strategy comes into focus

Russia's Yemen strategy comes into focus

While Russia maintains close contact with all conflicting sides in Yemen, it has thus far been non-committal about which side it supports. That could change, however, if the crisis begins to escalate further

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23.02.2015

Could Russia join the fight against ISIS by arming Libya?

Could Russia join the fight against ISIS by arming Libya?

Providing military aid to Libya to help fight ISIS could mark the start of Moscow’s new strategy to prevent a spillover of radical Islam to the Caucasus. It may also be part of a plan to expand Moscow’s naval presence in the Mediterranean

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29.01.2015

Moscow's 11 principles for peace in Syria

Moscow's 11 principles for peace in Syria

The four-day Syrian peace talks in Moscow lacked any defining breakthroughs, but the “Moscow Principles” signed by participants on Jan. 29 could help build momentum for a future solution to the Syrian crisis

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